Economic indicators - Topics

The base effect trap: why this month's inflation number may mislead you Why the jobs report gets revised and what that means for decisions already made The inverted yield curve: the recession signal that markets keep watching Manufacturing PMI vs services PMI: two readings that tell different stories Retail sales reports: how one month of shopping becomes a national signal What a drop in consumer confidence really predicts for spending Why wage growth data cuts both ways for workers and for inflation What a widening trade deficit says about an economy and its currency Weekly jobless claims are the fastest unemployment statistic any government publishes Why the first unemployment estimate gets revised twice and how far those revisions run Housing starts and existing home sales: the data that signals a turning economy The first Friday of the month is when the US unemployment statistics land What is inside the monthly employment situation release besides the headline rate JOLTS hires and quits data explains what the unemployment rate cannot Real-time versus revised: the unemployment statistics a forecaster saw on release day Where to pull thirty years of monthly unemployment statistics without a subscription What a PMI reading above or below 50 actually tells you about the economy Why a strong GDP print can be bad news for stock investors How to read the unemployment rate beyond the headline number Why the CPI report moves markets more than any other economic indicator Core inflation vs headline inflation: which one should you watch The involuntary part-time rate often turns up before the unemployment rate does What the jobs data misses about real household wages How seasonal adjustment changes the unemployment number you see in headlines PPI vs CPI: why producer prices reach your grocery bill months later Nonfarm payrolls day: the sixty minutes that can flip a rate-cut forecast Leading vs lagging indicators: why the stock market looks ahead while GDP looks back How central banks turn CPI and jobs data into interest rate decisions