Chance and luck
Popularity Index: 37 Updated at 2026-09-06 07:09 UTCSites
Subcategories 7
Topics 11
Why the same lucky break helps one person and wrecks another
Seneca said luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity: is that really how it works?
Can you separate skill from luck in a single outcome like a promotion?
A coin flip is chance: a promotion you did nothing to earn is luck
The difference between a risk you can price and luck you cannot
Is luck just probability that nobody has bothered to measure yet?
How much of a good career is skill and how much is pure chance?
Why poker players talk about variance more honestly than most professionals do
Can a company call a lucky quarter strategy and get away with it?
Nassim Taleb's point that luck hides in the tail of the distribution
How insurance works as a pooled bet that somebody else will be unlucky
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